I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Big 12 Conference · Moody Center · February 20, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -8.5 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money TEX -450 / KSU +320
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TEX +6 118 Won
Massey TEX -8.0 (-2.0)
Massey Totals 141.4 (-23.4)
Bradley-Terry 74%
Weighted B-T 78%
Efficiency Plus ML TEX -7.2 (-1.2) 141.5 (-23.5) 79%
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -6.8 (-0.8) 140.7 (-22.7) 76%
Baseline ML TEX -6.8 (-0.8) 141.5 (-23.5) 78%
Baseline Plus ML TEX -7.1 (-1.1) 138.7 (-20.7) 78%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 13, 2024 KSU 7874 TEX
Feb 4, 2023 TEX 6966 KSU
Jan 4, 2023 KSU 116103 TEX
Jan 19, 2022 KSU 6665 TEX
Jan 5, 2022 TEX 7057 KSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX KSU
Overall 21-13 19-15
Conference 9-9 8-10
Home 14-4 14-3
Away 4-6 2-9
Neutral 3-3 3-3
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 75.4 72.2
Avg Pts Against 68.9 71.1
Massey 12.8 (#30) 8.2 (#72)
Bradley-Terry 1.79 (#50) 1.34 (#76)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.20 (#50) 1.64 (#80)
RPI 0.566 (#70) 0.549 (#93)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX KSU
FG% 47.6% 43.4%
3PT% 37.7% 30.4%
REB / G 35.1 37.3
OREB / G 10.4 11.6
AST / TO 1.33 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.1% 49.7%
TOV% 17.6% 21.3%
ORB% 31.3% 33.7%
FT Rate 21.9% 26.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.3% 46.2%
Opp TOV% 18.7% 17.5%
DRB% 69.5% 68.6%
Opp FT Rate 22.1% 22.0%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.