Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | TEX -450 KSU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +6 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -8.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -7.2 (-1.2) | 141.5 (-23.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -6.8 (-0.8) | 140.7 (-22.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -6.8 (-0.8) | 141.5 (-23.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -7.1 (-1.1) | 138.7 (-20.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2024 | KSU 78 – 74 TEX |
| Feb 4, 2023 | TEX 69 – 66 KSU |
| Jan 4, 2023 | KSU 116 – 103 TEX |
| Jan 19, 2022 | KSU 66 – 65 TEX |
| Jan 5, 2022 | TEX 70 – 57 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#30) | 8.2 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#50) | 1.34 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#50) | 1.64 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#70) | 0.549 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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