Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -400 KSU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +13 | 219 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -9.4 (-22.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+77.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -7.9 (-20.9) | 146.1 (+72.9) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -7.1 (-20.1) | 146.6 (+72.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -7.6 (-20.6) | 147.6 (+71.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -6.7 (-19.7) | 147.5 (+71.5) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2024 | KSU 78 – 74 TEX |
| Feb 20, 2024 | TEX 62 – 56 KSU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | TEX 69 – 66 KSU |
| Jan 19, 2022 | KSU 66 – 65 TEX |
| Jan 5, 2022 | TEX 70 – 57 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 17-1 | 16-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#6) | 11.6 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.91 (#15) | 3.05 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.67 (#14) | 3.45 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.607 (#33) | 0.631 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.8% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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