Bitch, I'm me! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
Texas Longhorns
103 116
FINAL Conference
Kansas State Wildcats
Big 12 Conference · Moody Center · January 4, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -8.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money TEX -400 / KSU +280
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual KSU +13 219 Lost
Massey TEX -9.4 (-22.4)
Massey Totals 141.4 (+77.6)
Bradley-Terry 65%
Weighted B-T 75%
Efficiency Plus ML TEX -7.9 (-20.9) 146.1 (+72.9) 77%
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -7.1 (-20.1) 146.6 (+72.4) 75%
Baseline ML TEX -7.6 (-20.6) 147.6 (+71.4) 74%
Baseline Plus ML TEX -6.7 (-19.7) 147.5 (+71.5) 75%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 13, 2024 KSU 7874 TEX
Feb 20, 2024 TEX 6256 KSU
Feb 4, 2023 TEX 6966 KSU
Jan 19, 2022 KSU 6665 TEX
Jan 5, 2022 TEX 7057 KSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX KSU
Overall 29-9 26-10
Conference 12-6 11-7
Home 17-1 16-1
Away 4-6 4-7
Neutral 8-2 6-2
Last 5 5-0 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 78.0 76.2
Avg Pts Against 67.8 69.9
Massey 16.7 (#6) 11.6 (#35)
Bradley-Terry 2.91 (#15) 3.05 (#10)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.67 (#14) 3.45 (#20)
RPI 0.607 (#33) 0.631 (#15)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX KSU
FG% 49.5% 46.5%
3PT% 33.8% 33.2%
REB / G 38.3 35.5
OREB / G 11.6 11.3
AST / TO 1.54 1.38
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.5% 52.0%
TOV% 16.6% 18.9%
ORB% 32.4% 33.4%
FT Rate 19.4% 24.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.1% 46.6%
Opp TOV% 24.8% 24.6%
DRB% 73.2% 70.9%
Opp FT Rate 20.8% 23.3%

Game Analysis

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