And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Big 12 Conference · Bramlage Coliseum · January 5, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -6.0 Away covered
O/U 122.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total KSU win
Actual TEX +13 127 Lost
Massey TEX -4.1 (-8.9)
Massey Totals 113.9 (+13.1)
Bradley-Terry 24%
Weighted B-T 20%
Efficiency Plus ML TEX -5.5 (-7.5) 125.2 (+1.8) 23%
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -3.1 (-9.9) 123.6 (+3.4) 30%
Baseline ML TEX -2.7 (-10.3) 124.9 (+2.1) 28%
Baseline Plus ML TEX -4.5 (-8.5) 125.9 (+1.1) 22%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 13, 2024 KSU 7874 TEX
Feb 20, 2024 TEX 6256 KSU
Feb 4, 2023 TEX 6966 KSU
Jan 4, 2023 KSU 116103 TEX
Jan 19, 2022 KSU 6665 TEX

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KSU TEX
Overall 14-17 22-12
Conference 6-12 10-8
Home 9-7 16-3
Away 5-7 4-7
Neutral 0-3 2-2
Last 5 3-2 5-0
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 69.0 68.8
Avg Pts Against 67.5 60.6
Massey 6.6 (#81) 15.0 (#17)
Bradley-Terry 0.64 (#122) 2.59 (#28)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.29 (#93) 3.51 (#27)
RPI 0.490 (#189) 0.585 (#48)
Shooting & Four Factors KSU TEX
FG% 44.1% 47.0%
3PT% 34.7% 34.0%
REB / G 37.5 33.8
OREB / G 8.5 10.8
AST / TO 1.16 1.39
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.1% 53.2%
TOV% 17.8% 16.9%
ORB% 25.7% 34.2%
FT Rate 22.3% 22.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.0% 45.1%
Opp TOV% 20.4% 28.5%
DRB% 76.1% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 20.0% 16.1%

Game Analysis

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