The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
Big 12 Conference · Bramlage Coliseum · January 5, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -6.0 Away covered
O/U 122.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total KSU win
Actual TEX +13 127 Lost
Massey TEX -4.1 (-8.9) — —
Massey Totals — 113.9 (+13.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 24% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 20% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TEX -5.5 (-7.5) 125.2 (+1.8) 23% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -3.1 (-9.9) 123.6 (+3.4) 30% ✓
Baseline ML TEX -2.7 (-10.3) 124.9 (+2.1) 28% ✓
Baseline Plus ML TEX -4.5 (-8.5) 125.9 (+1.1) 22% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 13, 2024 KSU 78 – 74 TEX
Feb 20, 2024 TEX 62 – 56 KSU
Feb 4, 2023 TEX 69 – 66 KSU
Jan 4, 2023 KSU 116 – 103 TEX
Jan 19, 2022 KSU 66 – 65 TEX

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KSU TEX
Overall 14-17 22-12
Conference 6-12 10-8
Home 9-7 16-3
Away 5-7 4-7
Neutral 0-3 2-2
Last 5 3-2 5-0
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 69.0 68.8
Avg Pts Against 67.5 60.6
Massey 6.6 (#81) 15.0 (#17)
Bradley-Terry 0.64 (#122) 2.59 (#28)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.29 (#93) 3.51 (#27)
RPI 0.490 (#189) 0.585 (#48)
Shooting & Four Factors KSU TEX
FG% 44.1% 47.0%
3PT% 34.7% 34.0%
REB / G 37.5 33.8
OREB / G 8.5 10.8
AST / TO 1.16 1.39
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.1% 53.2%
TOV% 17.8% 16.9%
ORB% 25.7% 34.2%
FT Rate 22.3% 22.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.0% 45.1%
Opp TOV% 20.4% 28.5%
DRB% 76.1% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 20.0% 16.1%

Game Analysis

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