Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Big 12 Conference · Frank Erwin Center · January 19, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -10.5 Away covered
O/U 125.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual KSU +1 131 Lost
Massey TEX -10.9 (-11.9)
Massey Totals 116.1 (+14.9)
Bradley-Terry 89%
Weighted B-T 90%
Efficiency Plus ML TEX -11.3 (-12.3) 124.8 (+6.2) 83%
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -8.6 (-9.6) 126.1 (+4.9) 79%
Baseline ML TEX -9.2 (-10.2) 126.5 (+4.5) 80%
Baseline Plus ML TEX -9.6 (-10.6) 126.9 (+4.1) 82%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 13, 2024 KSU 7874 TEX
Feb 20, 2024 TEX 6256 KSU
Feb 4, 2023 TEX 6966 KSU
Jan 4, 2023 KSU 116103 TEX
Jan 5, 2022 TEX 7057 KSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX KSU
Overall 22-12 14-17
Conference 10-8 6-12
Home 16-3 9-7
Away 4-7 5-7
Neutral 2-2 0-3
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 68.8 69.0
Avg Pts Against 60.6 67.5
Massey 14.7 (#19) 7.5 (#72)
Bradley-Terry 2.40 (#36) 0.95 (#102)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.33 (#27) 1.80 (#75)
RPI 0.583 (#54) 0.506 (#158)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX KSU
FG% 46.4% 42.8%
3PT% 33.2% 34.1%
REB / G 33.7 36.2
OREB / G 10.3 8.6
AST / TO 1.27 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.6% 49.8%
TOV% 17.7% 17.6%
ORB% 33.0% 25.1%
FT Rate 23.0% 20.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.0% 44.8%
Opp TOV% 26.1% 20.1%
DRB% 72.1% 74.9%
Opp FT Rate 18.5% 20.2%

Game Analysis

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