Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +1 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -10.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 116.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -11.3 (-12.3) | 124.8 (+6.2) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -8.6 (-9.6) | 126.1 (+4.9) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -9.2 (-10.2) | 126.5 (+4.5) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -9.6 (-10.6) | 126.9 (+4.1) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2024 | KSU 78 – 74 TEX |
| Feb 20, 2024 | TEX 62 – 56 KSU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | TEX 69 – 66 KSU |
| Jan 4, 2023 | KSU 116 – 103 TEX |
| Jan 5, 2022 | TEX 70 – 57 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 16-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#19) | 7.5 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#36) | 0.95 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.33 (#27) | 1.80 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#54) | 0.506 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.1% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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