Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -250 KSU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -4.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -3.5 (-7.5) | 144.8 (+7.2) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -3.6 (-7.6) | 143.9 (+8.1) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -2.9 (-6.9) | 145.3 (+6.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -3.1 (-7.1) | 144.1 (+7.9) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2024 | TEX 62 – 56 KSU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | TEX 69 – 66 KSU |
| Jan 4, 2023 | KSU 116 – 103 TEX |
| Jan 19, 2022 | KSU 66 – 65 TEX |
| Jan 5, 2022 | TEX 70 – 57 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#23) | 9.1 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#36) | 1.48 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#35) | 1.85 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#59) | 0.544 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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