Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -500 AUB +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +3 | 89 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -12.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.4 (-40.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -10.6 (-7.6) | 131.7 (-42.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -10.1 (-7.1) | 130.4 (-41.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -11.3 (-8.3) | 130.8 (-41.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -11.3 (-8.3) | 131.7 (-42.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | TENN 72 – 62 AUB |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TENN 77 – 69 AUB |
| Mar 15, 2025 | TENN 70 – 65 AUB |
| Jan 26, 2025 | AUB 53 – 51 TENN |
| Feb 29, 2024 | TENN 92 – 84 AUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.9 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 21.0 (#2) | 11.9 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#11) | 2.18 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.35 (#15) | 2.55 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#13) | 0.620 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.6% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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