Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK -250 UND +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +14 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | SDAK -3.7 (-17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -2.7 (-16.7) | 146.1 (+11.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -3.8 (-17.8) | 144.3 (+13.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -3.2 (-17.2) | 146.2 (+11.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -2.8 (-16.8) | 147.2 (+10.8) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UND 72 – 71 SDAK |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UND 96 – 80 SDAK |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SDAK 92 – 79 UND |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SDAK 102 – 93 UND |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UND 95 – 66 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-8 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#312) | -8.7 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#236) | -1.63 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#251) | -1.74 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#247) | 0.405 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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