Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | SDAK -135 UND +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +1 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | SDAK -3.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.5 (-21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -2.7 (-3.7) | 156.1 (-13.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -3.0 (-4.0) | 154.8 (-11.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -2.5 (-3.5) | 154.5 (-11.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -2.7 (-3.7) | 156.8 (-13.8) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | UND 96 – 80 SDAK |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SDAK 92 – 79 UND |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SDAK 102 – 93 UND |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UND 95 – 66 SDAK |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UND 95 – 81 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 10-6 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.7 | 79.6 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#277) | -7.9 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#231) | -0.85 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#237) | -1.39 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#285) | 0.471 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 33.3% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
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