Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | BELL -150 JXST +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | BELL -4.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -1.9 (+5.1) | 129.0 (+6.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -2.4 (+4.6) | 128.1 (+6.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -2.2 (+4.8) | 131.3 (+3.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -2.5 (+4.5) | 131.7 (+3.3) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2023 | BELL 75 – 62 JXST |
| Feb 21, 2022 | JXST 82 – 67 BELL |
| Jan 25, 2022 | JXST 65 – 60 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-12 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#259) | -6.3 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#237) | -1.17 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#243) | -1.38 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#220) | 0.429 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 28.1 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 5.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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