The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Freedom Hall (KY) · February 21, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread BELL -2.0 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total BELL win
Actual JXST +15 149 Lost
Massey BELL -0.5 (-15.5) — —
Massey Totals — 134.3 (+14.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 59% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 58% ✗
Baseline Plus ML BELL -1.4 (-16.4) 135.6 (+13.4) 50% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BELL -0.6 (-15.6) 135.5 (+13.5) 53% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML BELL -1.7 (-16.7) 137.6 (+11.4) 56% ✗
Baseline ML BELL -0.9 (-15.9) 137.3 (+11.7) 53% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 4, 2023 BELL 71 – 64 JXST
Jan 8, 2023 BELL 75 – 62 JXST
Jan 25, 2022 JXST 65 – 60 BELL

Game Analysis

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