Ich lieb dich nicht; Du liebst mich nicht. "Da da da" - Trio
Atlantic Sun Conference · Pete Mathews Coliseum · January 8, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread JXST -1.5 Away covered
O/U 127.5 Over
Money JXST -120 / BELL +125
Model Predictions
Spread Total JXST win
Actual BELL +13 137 Lost
Massey JXST -2.0 (-15.0) — —
Massey Totals — 128.5 (+8.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 66% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 70% ✗
Baseline Plus ML JXST -0.7 (-13.7) 129.7 (+7.3) 51% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ JXST -1.1 (-14.1) 126.4 (+10.6) 53% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML JXST -1.2 (-14.2) 131.1 (+5.9) 54% ✗
Baseline ML JXST -0.9 (-13.9) 132.3 (+4.7) 50% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 4, 2023 BELL 71 – 64 JXST
Feb 21, 2022 JXST 82 – 67 BELL
Jan 25, 2022 JXST 65 – 60 BELL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings JXST BELL
Overall 13-18 15-18
Conference 6-12 9-9
Home 9-5 8-6
Away 3-12 6-12
Neutral 1-1 1-0
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak W2 L1
Avg Pts For 67.1 63.5
Avg Pts Against 71.2 69.6
Massey -7.6 (#305) -5.4 (#265)
Bradley-Terry -1.28 (#296) -1.18 (#291)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.60 (#295) -1.58 (#294)
RPI 0.438 (#288) 0.467 (#233)
Shooting & Four Factors JXST BELL
FG% 41.3% 44.0%
3PT% 34.5% 34.3%
REB / G 34.1 27.1
OREB / G 9.5 5.5
AST / TO 0.78 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.3% 51.6%
TOV% 20.2% 19.5%
ORB% 27.4% 19.3%
FT Rate 19.5% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.5% 54.2%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 17.7%
DRB% 72.9% 70.2%
Opp FT Rate 22.3% 26.9%

Game Analysis

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