Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
Pete Mathews Coliseum · January 25, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread JXST -6.5 Away covered
O/U 135.0 Under
Money JXST -300 / BELL +240
Model Predictions
Spread Total JXST win
Actual JXST +5 125 Won
Massey JXST -9.7 (-4.7) — —
Massey Totals — 137.2 (-12.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 68% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 74% ✓
Baseline Plus ML JXST -7.3 (-2.3) 139.3 (-14.3) 75% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ JXST -7.5 (-2.5) 137.0 (-12.0) 75% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML JXST -8.0 (-3.0) 141.4 (-16.4) 78% ✓
Baseline ML JXST -7.7 (-2.7) 141.9 (-16.9) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 4, 2023 BELL 71 – 64 JXST
Jan 8, 2023 BELL 75 – 62 JXST
Feb 21, 2022 JXST 82 – 67 BELL

Game Analysis

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