Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | SELA +120 AMCC -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +11 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -0.1 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -0.2 (-11.2) | 158.1 (-3.1) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -0.4 (-10.6) | 153.9 (+1.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -1.3 (-12.3) | 157.7 (-2.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -0.8 (-11.8) | 158.7 (-3.7) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | AMCC 73 – 68 SELA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AMCC 68 – 56 SELA |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AMCC 68 – 54 SELA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | AMCC 80 – 71 SELA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | AMCC 80 – 68 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#262) | -1.8 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#193) | -0.67 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#222) | -0.68 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#191) | 0.469 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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