Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | OKST -213 TCU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -0.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -1.3 (+4.7) | 142.0 (+10.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -1.3 (+4.7) | 141.4 (+10.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -1.9 (+4.1) | 139.1 (+12.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -1.8 (+4.2) | 139.8 (+12.2) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | TCU 95 – 88 OKST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | TCU 95 – 92 OKST |
| Jan 21, 2026 | TCU 68 – 65 OKST |
| Feb 13, 2025 | TCU 73 – 72 OKST |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TCU 74 – 69 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#32) | 14.6 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#54) | 2.69 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#40) | 3.77 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#64) | 0.589 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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