Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | PENN -1400 COLU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | PENN -16.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -13.2 (-4.2) | 145.7 (-6.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -11.8 (-2.8) | 146.5 (-7.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -12.6 (-3.6) | 147.3 (-8.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -13.3 (-4.3) | 147.0 (-8.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PENN 76 – 67 COLU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | COLU 72 – 67 PENN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PENN 92 – 87 COLU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PENN 93 – 78 COLU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PENN 84 – 72 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-13 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 2-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 6-9 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#151) | -11.9 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#190) | -1.94 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#176) | -2.45 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#159) | 0.407 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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