Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | UNI +130 BRAD -167 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +8 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -4.2 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -3.5 (-4.5) | 140.7 (+5.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -2.4 (-5.6) | 137.1 (+8.9) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -2.9 (-5.1) | 139.9 (+6.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -3.5 (-4.5) | 140.7 (+5.3) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNI 73 – 69 BRAD |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNI 61 – 49 BRAD |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BRAD 75 – 69 UNI |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BRAD 73 – 56 UNI |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNI 83 – 69 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 16-4 |
| Home | 8-8 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 62.8 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#177) | 7.2 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#185) | 0.92 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#182) | 1.07 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#179) | 0.562 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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