Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | VAN -188 MISS +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +3 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -3.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -3.1 (-0.1) | 138.6 (+6.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -4.0 (-1.0) | 136.1 (+8.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -3.1 (-0.1) | 140.4 (+4.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -2.7 (+0.3) | 140.6 (+4.4) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | VAN 89 – 86 MISS |
| Jan 31, 2026 | VAN 71 – 68 MISS |
| Feb 22, 2025 | VAN 77 – 72 MISS |
| Jan 13, 2024 | MISS 69 – 56 VAN |
| Mar 5, 2022 | VAN 63 – 61 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-6 | 7-10 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#111) | 3.9 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#96) | 0.36 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#106) | 0.77 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#83) | 0.529 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.