Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MISS -700 VAN +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +13 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -14.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -13.0 (+0.0) | 142.4 (-17.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -9.7 (+3.3) | 139.5 (-14.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -12.0 (+1.0) | 141.3 (-16.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -12.8 (+0.2) | 142.1 (-17.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | VAN 89 – 86 MISS |
| Jan 31, 2026 | VAN 71 – 68 MISS |
| Feb 22, 2025 | VAN 77 – 72 MISS |
| Feb 4, 2023 | VAN 74 – 71 MISS |
| Mar 5, 2022 | VAN 63 – 61 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#81) | -3.2 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.50 (#2) | -1.03 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.96 (#6) | -1.19 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.645 (#13) | 0.457 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.1% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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