Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | MARQ -1600 BTLR +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +8 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -14.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-34.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -13.0 (-5.0) | 146.4 (-34.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -12.4 (-4.4) | 143.7 (-31.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -12.7 (-4.7) | 146.4 (-34.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -11.7 (-3.7) | 145.6 (-33.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MARQ 70 – 55 BTLR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | BTLR 87 – 76 MARQ |
| Jan 29, 2025 | MARQ 78 – 69 BTLR |
| Dec 19, 2024 | MARQ 80 – 70 BTLR |
| Feb 13, 2024 | MARQ 78 – 72 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-7 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 6-14 |
| Home | 16-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-4 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 15.2 (#12) | 4.5 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.63 (#15) | 0.79 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.62 (#10) | 1.09 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#28) | 0.506 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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