Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | WCU -110 UTC +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +15 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -1.4 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -0.3 (+15.3) | 148.4 (+2.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -1.8 (+16.8) | 147.5 (+3.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -0.7 (+15.7) | 147.2 (+3.8) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -1.0 (+16.0) | 148.4 (+2.6) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WCU 81 – 76 UTC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UTC 90 – 82 WCU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UTC 91 – 86 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UTC 84 – 60 WCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WCU 82 – 63 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#260) | -0.3 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#278) | -0.51 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#276) | -0.46 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#277) | 0.488 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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