Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | ETAM -138 MCN +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +2 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | ETAM -6.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -6.0 (-4.0) | 136.9 (-18.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -6.1 (-4.1) | 136.3 (-18.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -5.7 (-3.7) | 139.6 (-21.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -5.8 (-3.8) | 137.9 (-19.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | MCN 97 – 54 ETAM |
| Dec 13, 2025 | MCN 102 – 66 ETAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | MCN 67 – 51 ETAM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MCN 75 – 56 ETAM |
| Feb 6, 2024 | MCN 77 – 51 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 5-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 7-12 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#302) | -11.0 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#282) | -2.59 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#296) | -3.22 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#275) | 0.432 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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