Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | RID -200 SPU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +21 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | RID -9.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.2 (+15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -7.6 (+13.4) | 129.6 (+13.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -6.4 (+14.6) | 127.4 (+15.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -7.8 (+13.2) | 129.7 (+13.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -7.6 (+13.4) | 129.8 (+13.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | RID 81 – 78 SPU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SPU 69 – 58 RID |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SPU 66 – 65 RID |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RID 67 – 64 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 50 – 48 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 65.5 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#183) | -7.1 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#184) | -1.35 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#188) | -1.65 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#167) | 0.442 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 38.5% |
Game Analysis
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