Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | MASS +110 DAV -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +15 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -3.4 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (+27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -2.9 (-17.9) | 143.2 (+27.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -2.6 (-17.6) | 143.9 (+27.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -2.4 (-17.4) | 142.3 (+28.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -2.8 (-17.8) | 142.9 (+28.1) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2025 | DAV 77 – 68 MASS |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MASS 69 – 67 DAV |
| Jan 12, 2022 | DAV 77 – 67 MASS |
| Jan 24, 2021 | DAV 69 – 60 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#158) | 0.7 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#130) | -0.19 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#130) | 0.16 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#107) | 0.504 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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