Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | MASS +160 DAV -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +9 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -2.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (-29.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -2.7 (-11.7) | 150.8 (-21.8) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -2.6 (-11.6) | 148.3 (-19.3) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -1.9 (-10.9) | 141.7 (-12.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -2.5 (-11.5) | 151.1 (-22.1) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2025 | DAV 77 – 68 MASS |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MASS 69 – 67 DAV |
| Feb 4, 2023 | DAV 93 – 78 MASS |
| Jan 12, 2022 | DAV 77 – 67 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-7 | 13-9 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 7-4 |
| Home | 4-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 64.8 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#81) | 7.1 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#111) | 0.84 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#89) | 1.38 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#115) | 0.506 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 81.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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