Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | MASS -120 DAV +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -0.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -1.1 (-10.1) | 144.7 (+0.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -1.1 (-10.1) | 145.2 (-0.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -2.1 (-11.1) | 143.6 (+1.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -1.1 (-10.1) | 144.0 (+1.0) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2024 | MASS 69 – 67 DAV |
| Feb 4, 2023 | DAV 93 – 78 MASS |
| Jan 12, 2022 | DAV 77 – 67 MASS |
| Jan 24, 2021 | DAV 69 – 60 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#167) | 2.2 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#196) | 0.38 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#181) | 0.65 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#201) | 0.514 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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