I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
Atlantic 10 Conference · John M. Belk Arena · January 12, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread DAV -13.0 Away covered
O/U 151.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total DAV win
Actual DAV +10 144 Won
Massey DAV -14.1 (-4.1)
Massey Totals 159.4 (-15.4)
Bradley-Terry 97%
Weighted B-T 98%
Baseline ML DAV -12.8 (-2.8) 153.7 (-9.7) 87%
Baseline Plus ML DAV -13.3 (-3.3) 151.2 (-7.2) 87%
Efficiency Plus ML DAV -11.2 (-1.2) 147.6 (-3.6) 86%
Baseline Tuned ML DAV -12.5 (-2.5) 154.3 (-10.3) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 13, 2025 DAV 7768 MASS
Mar 2, 2024 MASS 6967 DAV
Feb 4, 2023 DAV 9378 MASS
Jan 24, 2021 DAV 6960 MASS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DAV MASS
Overall 27-7 15-17
Conference 15-3 7-11
Home 13-1 10-5
Away 9-3 3-8
Neutral 5-3 2-4
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 74.6 75.7
Avg Pts Against 66.1 78.1
Massey 9.9 (#42) -0.4 (#181)
Bradley-Terry 2.71 (#23) -0.17 (#197)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.91 (#40) -0.04 (#180)
RPI 0.624 (#26) 0.492 (#187)
Shooting & Four Factors DAV MASS
FG% 49.2% 45.4%
3PT% 41.3% 40.5%
REB / G 31.8 32.3
OREB / G 6.7 9.6
AST / TO 1.62 1.21
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.6% 54.4%
TOV% 14.8% 16.5%
ORB% 22.4% 28.0%
FT Rate 19.8% 25.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.8% 54.8%
Opp TOV% 19.6% 18.3%
DRB% 76.0% 69.5%
Opp FT Rate 20.4% 21.3%

Game Analysis

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