And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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52–21 on winners spread MAE 9.9 73 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida Atlantic @ UAB +0.2 149.3 51% 77–86 ✓
Rice @ Louisiana Tech +2.8 150.6 64% 72–80 ✓
Florida International @ Charlotte +10.3 136.7 82% 57–54 ✗
Wisconsin @ Ohio State +7.7 136.2 76% 65–60 ✗
Michigan @ Northwestern +6.1 141.0 76% 68–51 ✗
High Point @ UNC Asheville +9.9 151.3 84% 63–89 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Mercer -1.7 130.8 40% 69–49 ✓
VMI @ The Citadel +5.5 141.2 69% 75–69 ✗
Saint Francis @ Stonehill +2.2 144.5 57% 61–74 ✓
Wagner @ Sacred Heart -0.1 135.4 51% 56–65 ✗
Southern Miss @ Troy -0.7 138.2 45% 74–65 ✓
James Madison @ Old Dominion -2.5 142.2 37% 78–73 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State +0.1 135.0 49% 60–64 ✓
UT Martin @ SIU Edwardsville +3.5 144.9 64% 75–89 ✓
Wright State @ Youngstown State +7.6 159.1 80% 89–91 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Robert Morris +0.4 133.8 47% 65–52 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Oakland -0.0 149.4 50% 82–73 ✓
Cleveland State @ Detroit Mercy -0.5 148.5 46% 67–85 ✗
Charleston @ Drexel -4.7 141.4 31% 69–70 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ UNC Wilmington +8.4 138.4 80% 63–87 ✓
Elon @ Stony Brook +3.2 135.0 56% 69–55 ✗
William & Mary @ Hampton -0.9 146.5 50% 57–62 ✗
Towson @ Hofstra +5.5 139.5 73% 72–76 ✓
Delaware @ Monmouth -7.9 136.7 21% 62–70 ✗
North Florida @ Jacksonville +7.1 140.6 76% 76–63 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Florida Gulf Coast +11.1 149.0 84% 91–87 ✗
North Alabama @ Stetson +6.6 154.5 78% 57–79 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ UL Monroe +2.3 141.5 62% 70–83 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Morehead State +2.9 141.6 65% 45–64 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Eastern Kentucky +7.1 141.2 79% 67–69 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Bellarmine -3.2 137.8 31% 90–84 ✓
Stanford @ Utah +8.2 134.9 78% 78–72 ✗
Oregon State @ Arizona State +10.9 130.3 84% 57–68 ✓
UTSA @ Western Kentucky +9.2 143.1 82% 74–81 ✓
South Alabama @ Arkansas State -4.7 134.3 28% 82–62 ✓
North Dakota @ South Dakota State +9.9 142.4 83% 73–96 ✓
North Dakota State @ South Dakota -0.8 148.6 48% 62–71 ✗
St. Thomas @ Omaha -2.3 143.6 39% 89–83 ✓
Little Rock @ Southeast Missouri State +8.7 159.8 82% 98–99 ✓
Liberty @ Austin Peay -16.0 131.9 12% 82–70 ✓
Queens University @ Lipscomb +2.6 155.8 65% 60–66 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ LSU New Orleans -8.1 156.8 25% 86–69 ✓
Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana +8.5 148.3 81% 67–77 ✓
Lamar @ McNeese +5.7 141.0 69% 70–63 ✗
Northwestern State @ Houston Christian -8.5 156.0 18% 94–76 ✓
Texas State @ Louisiana +8.4 139.0 81% 63–82 ✓
Tennessee State @ Southern Indiana +7.4 156.9 80% 80–76 ✗
Houston @ Wichita State -13.0 133.7 13% 70–61 ✓
Washington @ UCLA +16.0 140.5 89% 61–70 ✓
UTEP @ Middle Tennessee +5.3 133.3 72% 72–84 ✓
Utah Valley @ Utah Tech -3.5 150.7 38% 76–69 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ BYU +2.4 146.5 62% 61–89 ✓
Western Illinois @ Denver -0.4 149.6 48% 44–74 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Lindenwood +0.7 137.7 52% 67–80 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Davis +1.0 138.7 53% 63–75 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Montana State +11.3 140.4 86% 68–69 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Montana +7.2 144.1 78% 67–69 ✓
California @ Colorado +13.0 130.8 87% 46–59 ✓
Pepperdine @ Pacific +3.2 160.9 71% 73–81 ✓
Portland @ San Diego +0.7 163.6 55% 80–61 ✗
Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara +13.0 129.2 87% 62–68 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton +3.1 147.6 64% 70–67 ✗
UC Riverside @ Cal State Bakersfield -6.0 132.7 32% 76–82 ✗
UC Irvine @ UC San Diego -7.2 142.7 26% 76–60 ✓
Idaho @ Portland State +4.6 151.6 68% 66–69 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Sacramento State -0.2 140.1 43% 82–63 ✓
Oregon @ Arizona +9.0 151.2 80% 76–91 ✓
Santa Clara @ Gonzaga +11.9 161.1 87% 70–88 ✓
San Francisco @ Saint Mary's +12.2 133.0 87% 59–68 ✓
Washington State @ USC +4.6 136.3 76% 70–80 ✓
Yale @ Harvard -2.6 136.2 37% 68–57 ✓
Brown @ Dartmouth -0.3 143.8 48% 73–61 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Ball State +11.3 154.0 86% 90–91 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.