Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | NOLA +275 AMCC -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +17 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -7.9 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -10.5 (-6.5) | 155.6 (-0.6) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -7.8 (-9.2) | 153.4 (+1.6) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -7.9 (-9.1) | 155.7 (-0.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -8.1 (-8.9) | 156.8 (-1.8) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | AMCC 74 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NOLA 84 – 78 AMCC |
| Dec 31, 2025 | AMCC 83 – 69 NOLA |
| Mar 4, 2025 | AMCC 95 – 62 NOLA |
| Jan 7, 2025 | AMCC 97 – 83 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 6-9 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -13.7 (#352) | -2.3 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#352) | -0.76 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.94 (#349) | -0.76 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#344) | 0.456 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 24.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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