Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | JAX -250 UNF +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +13 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | JAX -9.1 (-22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -6.9 (-19.9) | 137.8 (+1.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -7.2 (-20.2) | 137.7 (+1.3) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -7.1 (-20.1) | 139.1 (-0.1) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -7.1 (-20.1) | 140.6 (-1.6) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | JAX 85 – 61 UNF |
| Feb 14, 2026 | JAX 63 – 56 UNF |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UNF 77 – 73 JAX |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UNF 81 – 78 JAX |
| Feb 24, 2024 | JAX 62 – 50 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JAX | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.0 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#214) | -7.6 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#135) | -0.82 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#143) | -1.29 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#96) | 0.468 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JAX | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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