Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | DART +110 BRWN -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +12 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | BRWN -0.6 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -0.2 (-11.8) | 143.2 (-9.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -1.5 (-10.5) | 142.1 (-8.1) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -0.2 (-11.8) | 140.5 (-6.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -0.3 (-11.7) | 143.8 (-9.8) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | BRWN 79 – 76 DART |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DART 77 – 70 BRWN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | DART 78 – 58 BRWN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DART 84 – 83 BRWN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BRWN 89 – 67 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-18 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 7-7 |
| Home | 7-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#264) | -1.3 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#283) | -0.43 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#306) | -0.66 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#267) | 0.486 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 77.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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