Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UCSD +275 UCI -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +16 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -8.1 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -7.9 (-8.1) | 143.6 (-7.6) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -8.1 (-7.9) | 141.9 (-5.9) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -7.5 (-8.5) | 142.1 (-6.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -7.2 (-8.8) | 142.7 (-6.7) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | UCSD 71 – 69 UCI |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCI 61 – 59 UCSD |
| Mar 16, 2025 | UCSD 75 – 61 UCI |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UCSD 85 – 67 UCI |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UCI 60 – 52 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-5 |
| Home | 4-10 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#271) | 5.9 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#279) | 0.57 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#281) | 0.91 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#265) | 0.533 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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