Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE -175 UTM +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +14 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -6.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -3.6 (+10.4) | 147.6 (+16.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -4.6 (+9.4) | 148.3 (+15.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -3.9 (+10.1) | 144.3 (+19.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -3.5 (+10.5) | 144.9 (+19.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UTM 81 – 76 SIUE |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UTM 65 – 59 SIUE |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UTM 76 – 71 SIUE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTM 85 – 82 SIUE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UTM 90 – 79 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#210) | -4.8 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#195) | -0.43 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#222) | -0.76 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#178) | 0.473 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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