Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | CSUF -138 LBSU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUF -4.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -3.3 (-6.3) | 149.2 (-12.2) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -1.8 (-4.8) | 148.9 (-11.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -3.1 (-6.1) | 146.5 (-9.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -3.1 (-6.1) | 147.6 (-10.6) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 82 LBSU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | CSUF 71 – 61 LBSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CSUF 83 – 67 LBSU |
| Dec 6, 2024 | LBSU 73 – 56 CSUF |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CSUF 76 – 71 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#135) | 0.9 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#180) | 0.04 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#176) | 0.35 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#176) | 0.519 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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