Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU -400 CSUF +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -7.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -6.1 (-11.1) | 143.7 (+3.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -5.8 (-10.8) | 142.9 (+4.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -6.7 (-11.7) | 142.3 (+4.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -6.3 (-11.3) | 142.9 (+4.1) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 82 LBSU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | CSUF 71 – 61 LBSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CSUF 83 – 67 LBSU |
| Dec 6, 2024 | LBSU 73 – 56 CSUF |
| Dec 29, 2023 | LBSU 81 – 71 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 7-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 9-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#163) | -4.2 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#136) | -0.65 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#145) | -0.89 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#147) | 0.478 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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