Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | CSUF -230 LBSU +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +17 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUF -11.8 (-28.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -8.4 (-25.4) | 127.9 (+1.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -6.6 (-23.6) | 127.4 (+1.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -6.4 (-23.4) | 127.3 (+1.7) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -9.0 (-26.0) | 128.0 (+1.0) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 82 LBSU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | CSUF 71 – 61 LBSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CSUF 83 – 67 LBSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CSUF 76 – 71 LBSU |
| Dec 29, 2023 | LBSU 81 – 71 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 3-17 |
| Home | 4-11 | 3-11 |
| Away | 2-15 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L12 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.3 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#280) | -13.2 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#213) | -4.17 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#222) | -5.76 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#182) | 0.352 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.0% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 62.5% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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