Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU -240 CSUF +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +16 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -6.2 (-22.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -4.7 (-20.7) | 132.5 (+17.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -4.7 (-20.7) | 135.5 (+14.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -5.5 (-21.5) | 135.9 (+14.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -6.0 (-22.0) | 136.1 (+13.9) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 82 LBSU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | CSUF 71 – 61 LBSU |
| Dec 6, 2024 | LBSU 73 – 56 CSUF |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CSUF 76 – 71 LBSU |
| Dec 29, 2023 | LBSU 81 – 71 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 1-19 |
| Home | 3-11 | 4-11 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L15 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 62.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#304) | -11.1 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#255) | -1.81 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#246) | -2.49 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#258) | 0.423 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 63.2% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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