If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Big West Conference · Walter Pyramid · January 19, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread LBSU -5.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money LBSU -240 / CSUF +200
Model Predictions
Spread Total LBSU win
Actual CSUF +16 150 Lost
Massey LBSU -6.2 (-22.2) — —
Massey Totals — 133.9 (+16.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 83% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 90% ✗
Baseline Plus ML LBSU -6.0 (-22.0) 136.1 (+13.9) 67% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LBSU -4.7 (-20.7) 132.5 (+17.5) 69% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML LBSU -4.7 (-20.7) 135.5 (+14.5) 69% ✗
Baseline ML LBSU -5.5 (-21.5) 135.9 (+14.1) 65% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 13, 2026 CSUF 86 – 82 LBSU
Jan 23, 2026 CSUF 71 – 61 LBSU
Dec 6, 2024 LBSU 73 – 56 CSUF
Mar 1, 2024 CSUF 76 – 71 LBSU
Dec 29, 2023 LBSU 81 – 71 CSUF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LBSU CSUF
Overall 7-25 6-26
Conference 3-17 1-19
Home 3-11 4-11
Away 4-11 2-15
Neutral 0-3 0-0
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L15 L12
Avg Pts For 65.9 62.3
Avg Pts Against 75.6 78.7
Massey -8.4 (#304) -11.1 (#329)
Bradley-Terry -0.92 (#255) -1.81 (#317)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.07 (#246) -2.49 (#319)
RPI 0.454 (#258) 0.423 (#301)
Shooting & Four Factors LBSU CSUF
FG% 43.6% 40.0%
3PT% 36.3% 25.9%
REB / G 30.1 31.6
OREB / G 8.3 9.3
AST / TO 0.79 0.60
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.1% 44.2%
TOV% 21.3% 20.9%
ORB% 26.7% 27.4%
FT Rate 25.9% 30.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.2% 53.1%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 16.6%
DRB% 63.2% 68.3%
Opp FT Rate 25.7% 30.9%

Game Analysis

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