Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | CSUF +135 LBSU -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +10 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -3.2 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -1.7 (-8.3) | 143.7 (+8.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -1.8 (-8.2) | 143.6 (+8.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -1.1 (-8.9) | 141.2 (+10.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -1.1 (-8.9) | 143.2 (+8.8) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 82 LBSU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | CSUF 71 – 61 LBSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CSUF 83 – 67 LBSU |
| Dec 6, 2024 | LBSU 73 – 56 CSUF |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CSUF 76 – 71 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#259) | 2.3 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#120) | 0.92 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#142) | 1.13 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#103) | 0.531 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.55 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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