Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | CSUF -166 LBSU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +10 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | CSUF -5.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.8 (-33.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -3.2 (+6.8) | 156.4 (-24.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -3.9 (+6.1) | 154.9 (-22.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -3.9 (+6.1) | 155.2 (-23.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -3.6 (+6.4) | 155.4 (-23.4) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 82 LBSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CSUF 83 – 67 LBSU |
| Dec 6, 2024 | LBSU 73 – 56 CSUF |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CSUF 76 – 71 LBSU |
| Dec 29, 2023 | LBSU 81 – 71 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#205) | -4.6 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#216) | -0.70 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#195) | -0.75 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#215) | 0.450 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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