Betting Lines
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | DETM +110 CLE +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +18 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -0.0 (+18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -0.5 (+18.5) | 146.7 (+5.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -0.2 (+17.8) | 145.5 (+6.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -0.3 (+18.3) | 146.3 (+5.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -0.5 (+18.5) | 148.5 (+3.5) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | DETM 94 – 84 CLE |
| Dec 6, 2025 | DETM 71 – 59 CLE |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CLE 73 – 65 DETM |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CLE 65 – 50 DETM |
| Feb 2, 2024 | CLE 77 – 65 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-13 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#226) | 0.8 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#277) | 0.17 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#248) | 0.26 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#274) | 0.507 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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