Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | WICH +550 HOU -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +9 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -15.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -11.3 (+2.3) | 133.2 (-2.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -13.0 (+4.0) | 132.9 (-1.9) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -13.7 (+4.7) | 134.7 (-3.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -13.0 (+4.0) | 133.7 (-2.7) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2023 | HOU 83 – 66 WICH |
| Feb 20, 2022 | HOU 76 – 74 WICH |
| Jan 8, 2022 | HOU 76 – 66 WICH |
| Feb 19, 2021 | WICH 68 – 63 HOU |
| Jan 7, 2021 | HOU 70 – 63 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 33-4 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 17-1 |
| Home | 8-9 | 16-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 11-0 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 57.5 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#125) | 21.6 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#160) | 3.34 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#148) | 4.62 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#167) | 0.632 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 38.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 41.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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