Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | WICH +275 HOU -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -9.1 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -5.9 (+10.9) | 140.1 (-9.1) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -6.6 (+11.6) | 137.8 (-6.8) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -6.0 (+11.0) | 140.0 (-9.0) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -5.8 (+10.8) | 138.1 (-7.1) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2023 | HOU 83 – 66 WICH |
| Feb 3, 2023 | HOU 70 – 61 WICH |
| Feb 20, 2022 | HOU 76 – 74 WICH |
| Jan 8, 2022 | HOU 76 – 66 WICH |
| Jan 7, 2021 | HOU 70 – 63 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-6 | 28-4 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 14-3 |
| Home | 10-2 | 15-0 |
| Away | 5-2 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 58.6 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#87) | 17.9 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.27 (#34) | 3.21 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#47) | 4.28 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#31) | 0.631 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 41.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 15.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 40.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 42.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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