Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +10 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -19.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -15.2 (-5.2) | 136.6 (+5.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -14.3 (-4.3) | 132.7 (+9.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -15.5 (-5.5) | 136.9 (+5.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -15.7 (-5.7) | 136.2 (+5.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2023 | HOU 83 – 66 WICH |
| Feb 3, 2023 | HOU 70 – 61 WICH |
| Feb 20, 2022 | HOU 76 – 74 WICH |
| Feb 19, 2021 | WICH 68 – 63 HOU |
| Jan 7, 2021 | HOU 70 – 63 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-6 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-9 |
| Home | 16-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 9-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.8 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 21.0 (#4) | 5.9 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.91 (#20) | 0.90 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.12 (#18) | 1.15 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#17) | 0.539 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 39.4% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.8% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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