Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | HOU -800 WICH +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +7 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -13.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -11.0 (-4.0) | 138.4 (-5.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -11.4 (-4.4) | 134.8 (-1.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -12.8 (-5.8) | 135.7 (-2.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -11.4 (-4.4) | 137.6 (-4.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2023 | HOU 83 – 66 WICH |
| Feb 3, 2023 | HOU 70 – 61 WICH |
| Feb 20, 2022 | HOU 76 – 74 WICH |
| Jan 8, 2022 | HOU 76 – 66 WICH |
| Feb 19, 2021 | WICH 68 – 63 HOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-4 | 16-6 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 11-2 |
| Home | 15-0 | 10-2 |
| Away | 5-3 | 5-2 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.6 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 17.5 (#6) | 6.9 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.61 (#7) | 2.25 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.91 (#4) | 3.03 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.676 (#8) | 0.614 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 41.4 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 40.5% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.0% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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