Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | HOU -4000 WICH +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +17 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -21.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.2 (+22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -19.4 (-2.4) | 136.5 (+12.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -16.0 (+1.0) | 133.0 (+16.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -17.3 (-0.3) | 134.7 (+14.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -19.2 (-2.2) | 136.0 (+13.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2023 | HOU 70 – 61 WICH |
| Feb 20, 2022 | HOU 76 – 74 WICH |
| Jan 8, 2022 | HOU 76 – 66 WICH |
| Feb 19, 2021 | WICH 68 – 63 HOU |
| Jan 7, 2021 | HOU 70 – 63 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-2 | 8-9 |
| Away | 11-0 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.5 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 21.5 (#1) | 3.7 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.53 (#3) | 0.45 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.63 (#1) | 0.65 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.642 (#3) | 0.517 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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