Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | WICH +250 HOU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +2 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -10.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.4 (+19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -6.2 (+4.2) | 135.3 (+14.7) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -5.8 (+3.8) | 133.0 (+17.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -6.1 (+4.1) | 134.9 (+15.1) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -6.7 (+4.7) | 134.7 (+15.3) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2023 | HOU 83 – 66 WICH |
| Feb 3, 2023 | HOU 70 – 61 WICH |
| Jan 8, 2022 | HOU 76 – 66 WICH |
| Feb 19, 2021 | WICH 68 – 63 HOU |
| Jan 7, 2021 | HOU 70 – 63 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 32-6 |
| Conference | 6-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-6 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-5 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 9-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 58.8 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#84) | 19.7 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#106) | 2.62 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#89) | 3.47 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#104) | 0.627 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 42.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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