Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP +120 W&M -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +5 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -1.2 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -0.7 (+5.7) | 144.3 (-25.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAMP -0.5 (+4.5) | 142.5 (-23.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -1.1 (+6.1) | 146.0 (-27.0) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -0.9 (+5.9) | 146.5 (-27.5) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | W&M 94 – 85 HAMP |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HAMP 77 – 74 W&M |
| Jan 23, 2025 | W&M 94 – 83 HAMP |
| Jan 17, 2025 | W&M 67 – 64 HAMP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | W&M 85 – 73 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -12.7 (#347) | -7.9 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#338) | -0.85 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#340) | -1.39 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#337) | 0.473 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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