Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | HARV +115 YALE -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +11 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -2.8 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -2.2 (-8.8) | 135.7 (-10.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -2.9 (-8.1) | 133.7 (-8.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -2.4 (-8.6) | 135.1 (-10.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -2.6 (-8.4) | 136.2 (-11.2) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | YALE 76 – 75 HARV |
| Feb 1, 2026 | HARV 67 – 65 YALE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | HARV 74 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | YALE 84 – 55 HARV |
| Mar 3, 2024 | YALE 80 – 60 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-14 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 10-4 |
| Home | 5-7 | 10-1 |
| Away | 8-6 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 64.3 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#143) | 7.7 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#161) | 0.71 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#160) | 1.09 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#143) | 0.542 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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