Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | RMU +125 NKU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +13 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | RMU -2.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -0.2 (-12.8) | 132.2 (-15.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -1.3 (-11.7) | 132.6 (-15.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -0.3 (-13.3) | 132.5 (-15.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -0.4 (-13.4) | 133.8 (-16.8) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | RMU 92 – 89 NKU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NKU 79 – 77 RMU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RMU 81 – 76 NKU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | RMU 97 – 93 NKU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | NKU 70 – 60 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#237) | -2.2 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#271) | -0.17 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#249) | -0.06 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#275) | 0.497 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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