Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | RMU +150 NKU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +10 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -1.6 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -0.9 (-9.1) | 143.9 (-13.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -2.5 (-7.5) | 143.4 (-13.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -1.8 (-8.2) | 144.2 (-14.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -2.5 (-7.5) | 145.3 (-15.3) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | RMU 92 – 89 NKU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NKU 79 – 77 RMU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RMU 81 – 76 NKU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | RMU 97 – 93 NKU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | NKU 77 – 59 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-9 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#286) | -2.0 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#316) | -0.23 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#318) | -0.30 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#310) | 0.502 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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