Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -333 RMU +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +18 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -7.4 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -4.7 (+13.3) | 142.1 (-6.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -5.7 (+12.3) | 140.7 (-4.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -3.7 (+14.3) | 143.6 (-7.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -3.7 (+14.3) | 143.9 (-7.9) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | RMU 92 – 89 NKU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NKU 79 – 77 RMU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RMU 81 – 76 NKU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | RMU 97 – 93 NKU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | NKU 70 – 60 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 12-3 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#226) | -3.5 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#257) | -1.96 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#251) | -2.79 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#262) | 0.401 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 24.2% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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